Randy

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Post-election analysis: Is the only direction upward for California conservatives?

Wednesday, June 8, 2022, 2:18 pm | Randy Thomasson

SaveCalifornia.com provides this solely for educational purposes and does not support or oppose candidates for public office.

It’s the day after, and the dust is settling in California’s just-concluded “jungle primary” election.

And while the numbers will change each day until the primary election results are “certified” on July 15, I’m seeing evidence that Californians against government tyranny are more motivated than liberal voters. And I believe there’s the potential for some statewide offices to be captured by constitutional Republicans (or in the state schools chief contest, an in-reality reformer).

Are Californians voting more Republican?

Is California experiencing a conservative resurgence? With all the pain of the last two years, there’s evidence of Californians’ growing support for Republican candidates (especially Republicans who will fight for them) over Democrat candidates:

First, as I watched vote changes late into the night, in most statewide contests, the leading Republican’s lead kept increasing, while the leading Democrat’s numbers (usually the incumbent) kept decreasing.

Second, the initial election-night report of voter turnout showed reliably Republican counties with the highest voter turnout. If we consider recall-energized San Francisco the Democrats’ “high watermark” at 25% turnout, and exclude very-low-population Alpine County, the highest voter turnout was in the Republican strongholds of Mariposa County (42%), Amador County (41%), Sierra County (40%), Plumas County (37%), Modoc County (32%), Calaveras County (30%), El Dorado County (26%), and Del Norte County (26%).

Third, a Northern California congressional shows voters preferring a Republican fighter over his more-establishment Republican opponent. As I write this, Assemblyman Kevin Kiley has more than twice the votes of Sacramento Sheriff Scott Jones.

Because of the harmful manifestations of anti-people policies by the New Communist Democrats in California and Washington, D.C., I’m not surprised if votes for Republican candidates are indeed higher. And, ideally, imagine the surge in the upcoming general election if biblical pastors promoted voting as a clear, practical application of Jesus Christ’s command to “love your neighbor as yourself.” How transformative that would be!

5 statewide seats that could flip

California has eight state constitutional offices that are held by one person. Seven are partisan (Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Controller, Treasurer, Attorney General, and Insurance Commissioner) and one is non-partisan (Superintendent of Public Instruction).

And while there’s just over a month to count the remaining votes, I see five statewide seats that could be taken from the ruling Democrats:

1. Controller: This is an open seat (incumbent Democrat Betty Yee is termed-out), and the first-place lead of 37% for taxpayer advocate Lanhee Chen. Veteran fiscal watchdog and current U.S. Representative Tom McClintock observed, “The controller’s office is the ideal office from which to wage a crusade in which to eliminate government waste.”

2. Insurance Commissioner: The incumbent Democrat, radical homosexual activist Ricardo Lara, only garnered 37%, which makes him politically vulnerable. I mean, has anyone’s insurance premiums gone down lately? “Reagan Republican” Robert Howell has a chance take this seat if California has a “conservative wave” in the November election.

3. State Superintendent of Public Instruction: The incumbent Democrat, Tony Thurmond of Oakland, received only 45.7% of the vote. With government unions running government schools, which made even liberal parents angry when schools were closed last year, this might be a perfect storm for pro-parent reformer George Yang.

4. Attorney General: The appointed incumbent Democrat, Rob Bonta, along with Governor Gavin Newsom, is incurring statewide blame for the current crime wave. Receiving 54.5% of the vote, Bonta might be deposed by hard-hitting, tough-on-crime messaging by Republican challenger Nathan Hochman.

5. U.S. Senator: Appointed incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla received only 53-54% of the vote for “partial term” and “full term.” Will he be negatively associated with Biden & Co. in November? In contrast, Republican Mark Meuser is a constitutional fighter.

You will have mostly real choices in the November election

Thank you if you voted! I appreciate you visiting our Pro-Family Election Center to equip you. And thank you big-time if you helped others to vote!

As I write this, if the “top two” vote-getters don’t change, nearly all California statewide offices will be a contest in November between a liberal Democrat and Republican, ranging from mostly conservative to constitutionalist.

Below is a snapshot of this morning’s statewide primary election results and the websites of the current “top two” in each contest. Please note that Republicans with percentages in the “teens” expect their Republican rivals’ supporters to vote for them in November. So assume them as practically having, post-primary-election, somewhere between 25% and 40% of the voters’ support.

For example, in the just-concluded primary election for governor, voting for 13 Republican candidates were 35.5% of the voters. These candidates attracted 1,208,643 voters, which is .6315861256658043% of Newsom’s 1,193,663 votes (Newsom “won” 56.3% of the electorate). Do the math: Newsom’s 56.3% x 0.6315861256658043 = 35.55829887498478% or 35.5% of the electorate for Republican candidates in the governor’s race. You can therefore expect Brian Dahle to attract at least this percentage in the general election.

Governor
Democrat incumbent Gavin Newsom 56.3%
Republican Brian Dahle 16.8%

Lieutenant Governor:
Democrat incumbent Eleni Kounalakis 52.1%
Republican Angela Underwood Jacobs 19.9%

Secretary of State:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Shirley Weber 58.8%
Republican Rob Bernosky 19.5%

Controller (open seat):
Republican Lanhee Chen 37%
Democrat Malia Cohen 21.3%

Treasurer:
Democrat incumbent Fiona Ma 57.6%
Republican Jack Guerrero 21.3%

Attorney General:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Rob Bonta 54.5%
Republican Nathan Hochman 18.5%

Insurance Commissioner:
Democrat incumbent Ricardo Lara 37%
Republican Robert Howell 17.8%

Superintendent of Public Instruction (officially non-partisan):
(Democrat) Tony Thurmond 45.7%
(DemocratAinye Long 11.7% (or will pro-parent reformer George Yang qualify for the run-off? At 11.6%, he’s only 1,818 votes behind Long)

U.S. Senate Full Term:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Alex Padilla
53.5%Republican Mark Meuser 14.3%

U.S. Senate Partial Term:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Alex Padilla 54.3%
Republican Mark Meuser 21.1%

Do you not know that those who run in a race all run, but one receives the prize? Run in such a way that you may obtain it.
1 Corinthians 9:24

Your phone calls made an impact, but Republican assemblymembers failed us

Sunday, May 29, 2022, 5:07 pm | Randy Thomasson

Memorial Day (originally Decoration Day remembering Civil War dead) honors men who gave the “ultimate sacrifice” for our country. But which “good” politicians sacrifice for you?

I know from the Bible that true love a) gives b) what God approves, and c) sometimes to our own hurt. As Jesus Christ, the Savior of the world and God in the flesh, taught in the Parable of the Good Samaritan, and in John 15:13, when He said, “Greater love has no one than this, than to lay down one’s life for his friends,” the greatest love is sacrificial.

What if sacrificial love were the norm for true Christians? For true love plus active repentance of personal sin is the spiritual recipe for healing our land.

On this theme of virtuous love, if you followed SaveCalifornia.com’s lead and made phone calls against the medical tyranny bills and infanticide bill on the Assembly floor, I thank you for making a noticeable impact.

Remember, for nearly two weeks, we targeted 28 (and near the end, 30) deciding votes (29 Democrats and 1 “independent”) with a flood of phone calls. What’s more, all of them, including all 19 Republicans, received at their State Capitol offices the facts of these awful bills: AB 2098 | AB 1797 | AB 2223.

Yet even without these Republicans speaking against these bills on the floor (they were silent and didn’t fight for us at all — see the passage of AB 2223), together, we pulled off more than a dozen Democrats. This was your admirable impact — thank you for giving us a real chance. But sadly, none of the 19 Republicans tried to defeat these bad bills!

See how close we got on the Assembly floor, where 41 “yes” votes pass bills:

On AB 1797 to segregate Californians in a “Covid vaccine” database, 1 Democrat voted no and 16 Democrats abstained or did not vote (two were absent), so AB 1797 initially passed by just 2 votes (abstaining Republicans later changed their votes to “no”).

On AB 2223 to prohibit law enforcement from investigating infant deaths, thus permitting infanticide, 1 Democrat voted no, independent” Chad Mayes voted no, and 13 Democrats abstained or did not vote (two were absent), so AB 2223 initially passed by just 4 votes (an abstaining Republican later changed his vote to “no”).

On AB 2098 to revoke the licenses of doctors that counsel patients against the “Covid vaccine,” 13 Democrats and “independent” Chad Mayes abstained or did not vote (two were absent), so AB 2098 initially passed by just 5 votes (abstaining Republicans later changed their votes to “no”).

Again, these atrocious bills passed because all 19 Assembly Republicans didn’t fight for us. From all my years in Sacramento, I know the impact of even one Republican strongly opposing a bad bill on the Assembly floor will put questions and fear into targeted Democrats’ minds, triggering abstentions. If even a couple of Republicans had raised their mics to expose AB 2098, AB 1797, and AB 2223, we could have won!

So don’t blame Creator God or “fate” — blame evil Democrats and unloving Republicans. Which is why voting this primary election is so important. In many legislative districts, you can choose what kind of Republican you want representing you. And I encourage you to vote and help your friends vote for moral constitutionalists who will fight for you!

Lastly, I want to tell you that SaveCalifornia.com tries hard to select battles we can win. Like General George Washington, who avoided battles he knew he would lose, we’ll only ask you to make phone calls when there’s a plausible opportunity to change votes.

Which is why SaveCalifornia.com steadfastly opposes SB 866, which would lower the age of “consent” for vaccines down to age 12. The next battle over this anti-family bill is Wednesday, June 1 @ 8:30am in the Assembly Judiciary Committee. This fight is especially worth it because one of the Republican committee members has implied he’ll speak and fight against SB 866. So please participate!

In whose eyes a vile person is despised,
But he honors those who fear the Lord;
He who swears to his own hurt and does not change.
Psalm 15:4

“Who, then, of these three, seems to you to have become neighbor of him who fell among the robbers?” And he said, “He who did the kindness with him,” then Jesus said to him, “Be going on, and you be doing in like manner.”
Luke 10:36-37

“…if My people who are called by My name will humble themselves, and pray and seek My face, and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin and heal their land.”
2 Chronicles 7:14

Dems’ anti-parent bill fails by 1 vote, then passes by 1 vote

Thursday, May 12, 2022, 12:35 pm | Randy Thomasson

May 29, 2022 update: The blatantly anti-family bill, SB 866, which would lower the age of “consent” to age 12 for any and all vaccines, pushing parents completely out of the picture, is scheduled for a Wednesday, June 1 8:30am hearing. Please call the members of the Assembly Judiciary Committee to urge them to “Oppose the anti-parent bill, SB 866.” And if you’re within driving distance of Sacramento, please try to attend and speak at the hearing in Room 447 of the State Capitol Building. Thank you!

Good news — SB 866, eliminating parental rights and informed consent for teen and pre-teen “shots” — has been severely wounded on the Senate floor.

Like its May 5 emergency committee hearing, SB 866 was hurried to a May 12 Senate floor vote because your Democrat rulers know their medical tyranny agenda is in trouble.

After 4 Democrat senators stood and spoke lies, and 4 Republican senators stood and spoke truth, the vote was taken. And it was so close, it was nearly historic!

Remember, the California State Senate has 40 members, so a majority vote to pass bills requires 21 votes. Achieving this is usually easy for the New Communist Democrats, who hold 31 seats, while Republicans hold only nine seats.

However, since parental rights is a “swing issue,” and since Covid has burned itself out, and because of the mini-flood of opposition phone calls to the deciding votes, and because this is an election year, the first vote was 20 yes, 7 no, and 12 abstentions. The bill was failing by one vote! But then the announcement came: “Call the absent members”; a minute later, an arm was twisted, and Democrat Monique Limón of Santa Barbara switched from abstaining to voting yes to supply the 21st vote to pass this “dog of a bill.”

Now, winning by 1 vote only to lose by 1 vote is still good news — because so many Senate Democrats abstaining on SB 866 means even more Assembly Democrats won’t touch this anti-parent bill.

This fact — plus excellent speaking on the floor by pro-family Republicans Jim Nielsen, Andreas Borgeas, Melissa Melendez, and Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh — means SB 866 is in deep trouble on the State Assembly floor (where it will likely arrive this summer).

Thank you to everyone who participated in our Senate floor alert. Now please call the Assembly floor to oppose medical tyranny and infanticide bills. Fighting these three Assembly bills now will give us a better chance to defeat SB 866 this summer.

“I didn’t change. The Democratic Party slid to the Left from right under me.”
Famous pro-life, pro-constitutional American actor Charlton Heston (1923-2008)