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Can a Republican win the California governor’s race?

Tuesday, April 29, 2025, 8:43 pm | Randy Thomasson

SaveCalifornia.com provides this solely for educational purposes
and does not support or oppose candidates for public office.

In light of California’s “jungle primary,” is splitting the votes of conservatives good or bad, and what are the chances of a mostly-conservative Republican being on the November 2026 ballot or being elected governor?

To answer, mostly-conservative Republican Steve Hilton’s entrance into the 2026 California governor’s race has immediately split the conservative vote between him and mostly-conservative Republican Chad Bianco.

If Hilton had not declared his candidacy, Bianco would have been virtually assured of being the highest or second-highest vote-getter in the primary.

Still, in the hypothetical scenarios I’ve been crunching, it’s plausible that a Republican could be one of “the top two” in the primary election, and if Kamala Harris doesn’t jump in, there’s even a path for either Bianco and Hilton to become governor.

The 2026 primary election scenarios below divide up 59% of the vote between the Democrat Party candidates and 38% of the vote between the Republicans. This is based on California’s 2024 presidential election results, and are rounded up or rounded down to match.

Here are the “bigger” declared candidates, so far, in alphabetical order who want to replace Democrat Governor Gavin Newsom, who’s termed out:

Democrats:
Toni Atkins, former State Senate leader, former State Assembly leader
Xavier Becerra, former U.S. congressman, former State Attorney General, and former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services
Eleni Kounalakis, current Lieutenant Governor
Katie Porter, former U.S. congresswoman
Tony Thurmond, former state assemblyman and current State Superintendent of Public Instruction
Antonio Villaraigosa, former state assemblyman, former mayor of Los Angeles
Betty Yee, current State Controller

Republicans:
Chad Bianco, current sheriff of Riverside County
Steve Hilton, media voice, former tech start-up founder, former U.K. government advisor

SCENARIO 1: Two Democrats win “the top two” slots of the June 2026 primary election (two really work hard at the expense of the other Dems), so both Democrats advance to the November election, and a Democrat will again become governor:

22% Becerra
21% Porter

19% Bianco
18% Hilton
4% Villaraigosa
4% Thurmond
3% Yee
3% Kounalakis
3% Atkins
3% other

SCENARIO 2: 1 Democrat + 1 Republican win “the top two” (the Democrat Party machine pushes 1 Democrat hard at the expense of the others):

25% Becerra
20% Bianco

18% Hilton
9% Porter
7% Thurmond
6% Yee
5% Kounalakis
4% Villaraigosa
3% Atkins
3% other

SCENARIO 3: 1 Democrat + 1 Republican win “the top two.” Here, the biggest Democrat, Kamala Harris, enters the race and “sucks all the oxygen out” of the other Democrats.

If Harris enters the race, expect up to 5 Democrats to drop out (Atkins, Kounalakis, Porter, Thurmond, and Yee). Also expect Harris to be puffed and promoted by California’s New Communist machinery. This scenario means a Republican will be on the November ballot.

39% Harris
20% Hilton

18% Bianco
12% Becerra
8% Villaraigosa
3% other

SCENARIO 4: Two Republicans win “the top two” (if Big Democrat Kamala Harris doesn’t jump in, Democrats might simply split into 7 portions that are smaller than the 2 Republican portions), meaning there will be a Republican governor:

20% Hilton
18% Bianco

13% Becerra
12% Porter
8% Thurmond
8% Yee
7% Kounalakis
6% Villaraigosa
5% Atkins
3% other

I’ve provided these 4 scenarios to give you hope. In 3 of the 4, a Republican (either Bianco or Hilton, both mostly-conservatives) advances to the general election. Let this energize you to support the candidate who best represents your values!

“Moreover you shall select from all the people able men, such as fear God, men of truth, hating covetousness; and place such over them to be rulers of thousands, rulers of hundreds, rulers of fifties, and rulers of tens.”
Advice of Moses’ father-in-law Jethro in Exodus 18:21

TOP ALERT: Urge the Trump Administration to help California in these 10 ways

Thursday, February 27, 2025, 12:50 pm | Randy Thomasson

Please scroll down to see 10 essential things you can urge the Trump Administration to do in California. But first, celebrate the good that President Trump is already doing!

Here are 3 needful ways President Trump is already helping California:

1. HALTING THE BULLET TRAIN BOONDOGGLE: In Los Angeles on Feb. 20, President Trump’s Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy announced he’s commencing a “compliance review” into California’s wasteful “bullet train” to determine how Newsom & Co. spent $4.3 BILLION in federal funds already given.

For all practical purposes, this action will prevent new federal funding of the Democrat Party machine’s “bullet train’ boondoggle. And without federal funding, the “work” on the “train to nowhere” will likely cease due to the project’s professed dependence on federal funds.

2. PREVENT AND DEPORT INVADERS: More good news is President Trump is already fighting for American security and identity by stationing U.S. troops at our border with Mexico.

Next, you can expect a federal lawsuit against the pro-illegal-alien State of California and California “sanctuary cities” (new U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi has already sued the big Democrat-Party states of Illinois and New York).

3. KEEP DRIVING WITH RELIABLE GASOLINE: You can also expect the Republican-controlled Congress to override the California “waivers” to “ban” new gasoline-powered cars as of 2035.

After Trump was reelected, Newsom & Co. sought 8 “waivers” limiting or prohibiting gasoline-powered engines “from locomotives to leaf blowers.” These awful notions of Democrat Party politicians would make electricity more costly and less reliable. Therefore, it’s a relief the Republican Congress is expected to overrule and deny them.

Yet there are ADDITIONAL, PRESSING PROBLEMS for the Trump Administration to solve in California — in at least 10 key areas!

PLEASE TAKE QUICK ACTION: Contact the White House (web form) and the U.S. Dept. of Justice (web form) to lobby them to intervene in California.

It’s most effective if you use the Trump and DOJ web forms for one subject at a time, sending up to 10 separate messages. Each time, in the subject-line field, type a clear message, such as, “Investigate election fraud in California.”

  1. Investigate, expose, and prosecute California election fraud (see more)
  2. Investigate California hospitals that still mutilate children (see more)
  3. Investigate California’s sky-high electricity rates (see more)
  4. Investigate California’s oppressive water rates and water shortages (see more)
  5. Commence aggressive forest management on all federal land in California (the U.S. government owns 45.4% of the land in California, most of it forest and other wilderness areas)
  6. Sue or join existing federal lawsuits to restore our Second Amendment rights (see more)
  7. Investigate vaccine tyranny (“take the shot or else”) where it exists — vaccines should be voluntary (see more)
  8. Investigate violations of religious liberty — for small business owners, students, employees, and more — based on the First Amendment, the 1964 Civil Rights Act, and numerous federal laws
  9. Investigate violations of parental rights in federal law (see more)
  10. Investigate public corruption by elected officials of California state government and California’s big cities, at all levels (bribery, extortion, cronyism, nepotism, parochialism, patronage, influence peddling, graft, and embezzlement)

PLEASE ACT AND PLEASE SHARE!

Who will rise up for me against the evildoers?
Who will stand up for me against the workers of iniquity?

The Bible, Psalm 94:16


Urge these 2 Christian legislators to use their God-given voices

Thursday, December 12, 2024, 8:27 am | Randy Thomasson

Urge these newly-elected, moral-values Republicans to stand and speak!

In the 2024 election, two Republican Assembly candidates won open seats previously held by Democrats.

In west Riverside County, new Republican Assemblywoman Leticia Castillo seems strongly pro-family, with faith in God. In an interview with Christian activist pastor Tim Thompson, Castillo said, “Parental rights are at risk,” and honoring God, said, “I want Him to use me as His vessel to do His work up in the State Legislature.” She asked for people’s prayers to God to help her with “staying in line with the beliefs and in God’s Word, so I don’t shift direction. That’s really important to me and I want to stay grounded.”

Likewise, another new Republican assemblyman is a pro-family Christian. Jeff Gonzalez, representing the Inland Empire and Imperial County in the southeast corner of California. Gonzalez is a Bible-based pastor endorsed by moral Christian leader Jack Hibbs of Calvary Chapel Chino Hills.

The overwhelming need of pro-family citizens — who live in California or who have family and friends to live here — is to have at least one Republican in each house of the California State Legislature who will stand and speak to expose the harm of Democrat Party politicians and their evil bills.

The real problem is, because of silence, acquiescence, and lack of exposure, the devilish Democrat Party supermajority in both houses in Sacramento have “smooth sailing” — because no current Republican legislator will reliably stir up a storm whenever a bad bill comes up on the Assembly or Senate floor.

Therefore, the priority is for conservative, constitutional, pro-family legislators to stand and raise their microphones to speak. Because when you’re in the numerical minority in Sacramento, your voice matters more than your votes. A pro-family-values legislator who speaks up gets much more done than a pro-family-values legislator who won’t (and who’s part of the problem).

ACTION: Please leave a message to communicate this vision and strategy to the two newly-elected professing Christian assemblymembers to speak to expose evil. Say something like, “Congratulations on winning your election. Please stand and speak to expose evil bills. Because your voice matters more than your voting!”

Leticia Castillo: Capitol 916-319-2058 | Corona 951-371-6860
Jeff Gonzalez: Capitol 916-319-2036 | Coachella 760-347-2360 | Imperial 760-355-8656

If you live in Castillo’s district or Gonzalez’s district, call anytime; if not, call and leave an anonymous message 6pm to 8am or on the weekend.

Who will rise up for me against the evildoers?
Who will stand up for me against the workers of iniquity?
Unless the Lord had been my help,
My soul would soon have settled in silence.
If I say, “My foot slips,”
Your mercy, O Lord, will hold me up.
In the multitude of my anxieties within me,
Your comforts delight my soul.
Shall the throne of iniquity, which devises evil by law,
Have fellowship with You?

The Bible, Psalm 94:16-20