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Post-election analysis: Is the only direction upward for California conservatives?

Wednesday, June 8, 2022, 2:18 pm | Randy Thomasson

SaveCalifornia.com provides this solely for educational purposes and does not support or oppose candidates for public office.

It’s the day after, and the dust is settling in California’s just-concluded “jungle primary” election.

And while the numbers will change each day until the primary election results are “certified” on July 15, I’m seeing evidence that Californians against government tyranny are more motivated than liberal voters. And I believe there’s the potential for some statewide offices to be captured by constitutional Republicans (or in the state schools chief contest, an in-reality reformer).

Are Californians voting more Republican?

Is California experiencing a conservative resurgence? With all the pain of the last two years, there’s evidence of Californians’ growing support for Republican candidates (especially Republicans who will fight for them) over Democrat candidates:

First, as I watched vote changes late into the night, in most statewide contests, the leading Republican’s lead kept increasing, while the leading Democrat’s numbers (usually the incumbent) kept decreasing.

Second, the initial election-night report of voter turnout showed reliably Republican counties with the highest voter turnout. If we consider recall-energized San Francisco the Democrats’ “high watermark” at 25% turnout, and exclude very-low-population Alpine County, the highest voter turnout was in the Republican strongholds of Mariposa County (42%), Amador County (41%), Sierra County (40%), Plumas County (37%), Modoc County (32%), Calaveras County (30%), El Dorado County (26%), and Del Norte County (26%).

Third, a Northern California congressional shows voters preferring a Republican fighter over his more-establishment Republican opponent. As I write this, Assemblyman Kevin Kiley has more than twice the votes of Sacramento Sheriff Scott Jones.

Because of the harmful manifestations of anti-people policies by the New Communist Democrats in California and Washington, D.C., I’m not surprised if votes for Republican candidates are indeed higher. And, ideally, imagine the surge in the upcoming general election if biblical pastors promoted voting as a clear, practical application of Jesus Christ’s command to “love your neighbor as yourself.” How transformative that would be!

5 statewide seats that could flip

California has eight state constitutional offices that are held by one person. Seven are partisan (Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Controller, Treasurer, Attorney General, and Insurance Commissioner) and one is non-partisan (Superintendent of Public Instruction).

And while there’s just over a month to count the remaining votes, I see five statewide seats that could be taken from the ruling Democrats:

1. Controller: This is an open seat (incumbent Democrat Betty Yee is termed-out), and the first-place lead of 37% for taxpayer advocate Lanhee Chen. Veteran fiscal watchdog and current U.S. Representative Tom McClintock observed, “The controller’s office is the ideal office from which to wage a crusade in which to eliminate government waste.”

2. Insurance Commissioner: The incumbent Democrat, radical homosexual activist Ricardo Lara, only garnered 37%, which makes him politically vulnerable. I mean, has anyone’s insurance premiums gone down lately? “Reagan Republican” Robert Howell has a chance take this seat if California has a “conservative wave” in the November election.

3. State Superintendent of Public Instruction: The incumbent Democrat, Tony Thurmond of Oakland, received only 45.7% of the vote. With government unions running government schools, which made even liberal parents angry when schools were closed last year, this might be a perfect storm for pro-parent reformer George Yang.

4. Attorney General: The appointed incumbent Democrat, Rob Bonta, along with Governor Gavin Newsom, is incurring statewide blame for the current crime wave. Receiving 54.5% of the vote, Bonta might be deposed by hard-hitting, tough-on-crime messaging by Republican challenger Nathan Hochman.

5. U.S. Senator: Appointed incumbent Democrat Alex Padilla received only 53-54% of the vote for “partial term” and “full term.” Will he be negatively associated with Biden & Co. in November? In contrast, Republican Mark Meuser is a constitutional fighter.

You will have mostly real choices in the November election

Thank you if you voted! I appreciate you visiting our Pro-Family Election Center to equip you. And thank you big-time if you helped others to vote!

As I write this, if the “top two” vote-getters don’t change, nearly all California statewide offices will be a contest in November between a liberal Democrat and Republican, ranging from mostly conservative to constitutionalist.

Below is a snapshot of this morning’s statewide primary election results and the websites of the current “top two” in each contest. Please note that Republicans with percentages in the “teens” expect their Republican rivals’ supporters to vote for them in November. So assume them as practically having, post-primary-election, somewhere between 25% and 40% of the voters’ support.

For example, in the just-concluded primary election for governor, voting for 13 Republican candidates were 35.5% of the voters. These candidates attracted 1,208,643 voters, which is .6315861256658043% of Newsom’s 1,193,663 votes (Newsom “won” 56.3% of the electorate). Do the math: Newsom’s 56.3% x 0.6315861256658043 = 35.55829887498478% or 35.5% of the electorate for Republican candidates in the governor’s race. You can therefore expect Brian Dahle to attract at least this percentage in the general election.

Governor
Democrat incumbent Gavin Newsom 56.3%
Republican Brian Dahle 16.8%

Lieutenant Governor:
Democrat incumbent Eleni Kounalakis 52.1%
Republican Angela Underwood Jacobs 19.9%

Secretary of State:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Shirley Weber 58.8%
Republican Rob Bernosky 19.5%

Controller (open seat):
Republican Lanhee Chen 37%
Democrat Malia Cohen 21.3%

Treasurer:
Democrat incumbent Fiona Ma 57.6%
Republican Jack Guerrero 21.3%

Attorney General:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Rob Bonta 54.5%
Republican Nathan Hochman 18.5%

Insurance Commissioner:
Democrat incumbent Ricardo Lara 37%
Republican Robert Howell 17.8%

Superintendent of Public Instruction (officially non-partisan):
(Democrat) Tony Thurmond 45.7%
(DemocratAinye Long 11.7% (or will pro-parent reformer George Yang qualify for the run-off? At 11.6%, he’s only 1,818 votes behind Long)

U.S. Senate Full Term:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Alex Padilla
53.5%Republican Mark Meuser 14.3%

U.S. Senate Partial Term:
Appointed Democrat incumbent Alex Padilla 54.3%
Republican Mark Meuser 21.1%

Do you not know that those who run in a race all run, but one receives the prize? Run in such a way that you may obtain it.
1 Corinthians 9:24

2-day alert on SB 866 — keep up the pressure!

Monday, June 6, 2022, 6:43 pm | Randy Thomasson

SCROLL DOWN FOR YOUR NEW ACTION STEPS

Good news! SB 866 eliminating parental rights and informed consent on any and all vaccinations for teens and pre-teens was skipped over today (Monday, June 6) in an abbreviated floor session of the California State Assembly. THANK YOU to everyone who called the last few days — your pressure is working!

This delay until Thursday morning means you have more time to fight — and defeat — SB 866, which intends to eliminate parental consent and informed consent for controversial or risky vaccines for children as young as age 12!

Remember, under SB 866, parents won’t even know if their children are being manipulated, coerced, or bribed into baring their arm for a shot they don’t need and you don’t want. And how are 12-year-olds going to remember their medical history, and whether they’re susceptible to adverse reactions? And what if they have an adverse reaction — and the parent doesn’t know what caused it? SB 866 eliminates parental rights, at a time when parents are needed to provide “guardrails” against profit-motivated Big Pharma.

So because you want California families protected — both parents and their children — here are “both barrels” for your constitutional, pro-family “firepower” to strategically fight to stop SB 866 (and pave the way for more victories this election year). Please call now — you have until Thursday, June 9 at 9 a.m., when the Democrat-run Assembly meets again.

Below are who to call and what to say (and most of your calls will be voicemail messages without talking to a live person). However, if you want to say more, here are good talking points against SB 866.

STEP 1: Call your own California state assemblymember

Call your own state assemblymember during business hours — 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. — whether they’re Republican or Democrat. Identify yourself when you tell your Republican assemblymember you want him or her to “Stand up, raise your microphone, and speak against SB 866 — don’t be silent on the Assembly floor!” Or, if you have a Democrat assemblymember, tell them, “Don’t attack parents — don’t eliminate parental rights on teen and pre-teen vaccinations. Children cannot give informed consent or be responsible for knowing their risks beforehand or dealing with problems after an injection. Oppose SB 866!”
Find your own assemblymember’s website and office numbers here.

STEP 2: Leave anonymous voicemails for up to 31 deciding votes

30 Assembly floor targets (30 Democrats and 1 independent)
Please leave anonymous voicemails 7pm to 8am, using the message for Democrats: “Don’t attack parents — don’t eliminate parental rights on teen and pre-teen vaccinations. Children cannot give informed consent or be responsible for knowing their risks beforehand or dealing with problems after an injection. Oppose SB 866!”

Call their State Capitol offices or legislative district offices or both, but anonymously and after hours 7pm to 8am (because Democrat offices “trash” non-constituent messages, so don’t let them know you live outside their district!)

Cecilia Aguiar-Curry of Yolo County, Solano County, Napa County, Lake County, Sonoma County, and Colusa County 916-319-2004 and 530-757-1034 and 707-224-0440
Joaquin Arambula of Fresno County 916-319-2031 and 559-445-5532
Tasha Boerner Horvath of north San Diego County 916-319-2076 and 760-434-7605
Sabrina Cervantes of Corona, Eastvale, Jurupa Valley, Norco, Riverside 916- 319-2060 and 951-371-6860
Ken Cooley of Sacramento County 916-319-2008 and 916-464-1910
Jim Cooper is running for sheriff of Sacramento County 916-319-2009 and 916-670-7888
Tom Daly of central Orange County 916-319-2069 and 714-939-8469
Mike Fong of Monterey Park to Arcadia in L.A. County 916-319-2049 and 323-264-4949
Eduardo Garcia of Imperial and Riverside counties 916-319-2056 and 760-347-2360
Mike Gipson of South-Central Los Angeles 916-319-2064 and 310-324-6408
Adam Gray is running for the new Central Valley congressional seat that includes West Modesto, Ceres, Patterson and Newman among other central and eastern Stanislaus County communities 916-319-2021 and 209-726-5465
Timothy Grayson of northeast Contra Costa County 916-319-2014 and 925-521-1511
Chris Holden of Altadena, Pasadena, Sierra Madre, Monrovia, San Dimas, Claremont, La Verne, Rancho Cucamonga, and Upland 916-319-2041 and 626-351-1917 and 909-624-7876
Jacqui Irwin of southwest Ventura County 916-319-2044 and 805-482-1904
Brian Maienschein of north San Diego 916-319-2077 and 858-675-0077
Chad Mayes (independent) of Palm Springs/Yucca Valley/Yucaipa 916-319-2042 and 760-346-6342
Al Muratsuchi of the Los Angeles South Bay 916-319-2066 and 310-375-0691
Adrin Nazarian of Van Nuys 916-319-2046 and 818-376-4246
Patrick O’Donnell of Long Beach 916-319-2070 and 562-429-0470
Cottie Petrie-Norris of coastal Orange County 916-319-2074 and 949-251-0074
Sharon Quirk-Silva of Fullerton/Buena Park/Anaheim 916-319-2065 and 714-525-6515
James Ramos of Redlands/Loma Linda/Highland/north San Bernardino and Rancho Cucamonga 916-319-2040 and 909-476-5023
Eloise Reyes of San Bernardino/Rialto/Fontana 916-319-2047 and 909-381-3238
Luz Rivas of northeast San Fernando Valley 916-319-2039 and 818-504-3911
Robert Rivas of Monterey, San Benito, and San Cruz counties and Gilroy 916-319-2030 and 831-759-8676
Freddie Rodriguez of Ontario/Chino/Pomona 916-319-2052 and 909-902-9606
Blanca Rubio of Azusa/Glendora/Covina and other east L.A. County communities 916-319-2048 and 626-960-4457
Miguel Santiago of downtown Los Angeles 916-319-2053 and 213-620-4646
Rudy Salas is running for a new congressional seat covering parts of Fresno, Kern, Kings, and Tulare counties 916-319-2032 and 661-335-0302
Carlos Villapudua of Stockton and Tracy 916-319-2013 and 209-948-7479
Lori Wilson of Fairfield/Vacaville/Rio Vista/Antioch/Brentwood 916-319-2011

STEP 3: Leave anonymous voicemails for up to 19 Assembly Republicans to demand they speak

Leave anonymous voicemails (unless the assemblymember is yours) after hours 7pm to 8am for all 19 Assembly Republicans. Tell them: “Please speak against SB 866 on the Assembly floor. This horrible bill eliminates parental rights for children as young as 12 years old. Stand up, raise your microphone, and speak up for parental rights and protecting children!”

Megan Dahle 916-319-2001 and 530-223-6300 and 530-265-0701
James Gallagher 916-319-2003 and 530-895-4217
Frank Bigelow 916-319-2005 and 209-267-0500 and 559-673-0501
Kevin Kiley 916-319-2006 and 916-774-4430
Heath Flora 916-319-2012 and 209-599-2112
Jim Patterson 916-319-2023 and 559-446-2029
Devon Mathis 916-319-2026 and 559-636-3440
Thurston Smith 916-319-2033 and 760-244-5277
Vince Fong 916-319-2034 and 661 395-2995
Jordan Cunningham 916-319-2035 and 805-549-3381
Tom Lackey 916-319-2036 and 661-267-7636
Suzette Valladares 916-319-2038 and 661-286-1565
Phillip Chen 916-319-2055 and 714-529-5502
Kelly Seyarto 916-319-2067 and 951-894-1232
Steven Choi 916-319-2068 and 714-665-6868
Randy Voepel 916-319-2071 and 619-258-7737
Janet Nguyen 916-319-2072 and 714-843-4966
Laurie Davies 916-319-2073 and 949-240-7300
Marie Waldron 916-319-2075 and 760-480-7570

“When you can’t make them see the light, make them feel the heat.”
Ronald Reagan, 40th U.S. president

ASSEMBLY FLOOR ALERT: Call the Republicans on SB 866

Wednesday, June 1, 2022, 8:05 pm | Randy Thomasson
Republican Assemblyman Kevin Kiley of Rocklin drills SB 866’s author, Democrat Senator Scott Weiner, with numerous questions at the June 1 committee hearing.

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ACTION STEPS

You want the bad news first, or the good news?

I’m going to give you the bad news first, because the good news is better. Today, the horrible anti-family bill, SB 866, which would eliminate parental consent for “vaccines” for children as young as 12 years old, passed the Democrat-controlled Assembly Judiciary Committee and was sent to the Assembly floor. This committee passage was expected — and “fixed” — by the Democrat majority, which fast-tracked this awful bill by referring it to only one committee, their most liberal one.

But the good news is 2 of 3 Republicans spoke against SB 866 in committee, and one Democrat — Brian Maienschein of north San Diego County — voted no. What’s more, Jordan Cunningham, a “moderate” Republican from San Luis Obispo County, voted no, instead of abstaining, which has been his habit on too many controversial bills.

Stop and realize this means we have a greater chance of defeating SB 866 on the Assembly floor. Remember, last Thursday, May 26, we lost by narrow margins on two medical tyranny bills (AB 2098 and AB 1797) and the infanticide bill (AB 2223) — because Republicans did not raise their voices to expose what these bills would really do.

What’s changed since then? First, outraged California conservatives have been “spanking” Republican members for not speaking last week (so has SaveCalifornia.com). Then, our May 30 alert on SB 866 urged you to tell the Judiciary Committee Republicans, “Speak out against SB 866 — expose this bad bill.” Thank you for your calls — because today, we saw two of the three Republicans — Kiley and Davies — do just that!

So yes, we can win this on the Assembly floor. Remember too that SB 866, which tramples your God-given parental rights, initially failed by 1 vote before passing by 1 vote. Being that close was historic — and should make us all pursue defeating this hellish bill!

Parental rights is definitely a crossover issue, which is why 2 Democrat state senators voted no and 8 Democrat state senators abstained. And we’ve got a better chance to win on the Assembly floor — if Republican assemblymembers speak out this time.

You can help Republicans speak up, as they should. Believe SB 866 can be stopped on the Assembly floor and you’ll make them believe it too!

Republican Assemblywoman Laurie Davies of Laguna Niguel told SB 866’s anti-parental-rights author. homosexual activist Scott Wiener, that her parents had medical consent for her, so did his parents, and parental rights exist to protect children.

Today’s June 1 committee hearing was a success in further “wounding” and “dragging down” SB 866. Again, the best success was the two Republicans energetically speaking out and challenging SB 866 author Scott Weiner of San Francisco.

Remember, with SB 866, parents won’t even know if their children are being manipulated, coerced, or bribed into baring their arm for a shot they don’t need and you don’t want. And how are 12-year-olds going to remember their medical history, and whether they’re susceptible to adverse reactions? And what if they have an adverse reaction — and the parent doesn’t know what caused it? SB 866 eliminates parental rights, at a time when parents are needed to provide “guardrails” against profit-motivated Big Pharma.

Talking points: “The age of 12 is too young for medical consent”

Why take action now? Simply put, on radical bills like these, Republicans’ voices are their own “secret weapon.” By speaking out strongly on the Assembly floor, they can actually pull away enough nervous Democrats to stop SB 866 in its tracks! If they had done so last week, we could have defeated medical tyranny and infanticide bills.

PLEASE TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION: Because SB 866 could come up for a vote as soon as the afternoon of Monday, June 6 on the floor of the California Assembly!

1. Call your own state assemblymember, whether they’re Republican or Democrat. Tell your Republican assemblymember you want him or her to “oppose and speak against and fight against SB 866 — don’t be silent on the Assembly floor!” Tell your Democrat assemblymember you want them to “Don’t attack parents — don’t eliminate parental rights on teen and pre-teen vaccinations. Children cannot give informed consent or be responsible for knowing their risks beforehand or dealing with problems after an injection. Oppose SB 866!” 
Find your own assemblymember’s website and office numbers here.

2. Leave anonymous voicemails (unless the assemblymember is yours) after hours Wednesday and Thursday 7pm to 8am for all 19 Assembly Republicans. Tell them: “Please speak against SB 866 on the Assembly floor. This horrible bill eliminates parental rights for children as young as 12 years old. Raise your microphone and speak up for parental rights and protecting children!”

Megan Dahle 916-319-2001 and 530-223-6300 and 530-265-0701
James Gallagher 916-319-2003 and 530-895-4217
Frank Bigelow 916-319-2005 and 209-267-0500 and 559-673-0501
Kevin Kiley 916-319-2006 and 916-774-4430
Heath Flora 916-319-2012 and 209-599-2112
Jim Patterson 916-319-2023 and 559-446-2029
Devon Mathis 916-319-2026 and 559-636-3440
Thurston Smith 916-319-2033 and 760-244-5277
Vince Fong 916-319-2034 and 661 395-2995
Jordan Cunningham 916-319-2035 and 805-549-3381
Tom Lackey 916-319-2036 and 661-267-7636
Suzette Valladares 916-319-2038 and 661-286-1565
Phillip Chen 916-319-2055 and 714-529-5502
Kelly Seyarto 916-319-2067 and 951-894-1232
Steven Choi 916-319-2068 and 714-665-6868
Randy Voepel 916-319-2071 and 619-258-7737
Janet Nguyen 916-319-2072 and 714-843-4966
Laurie Davies 916-319-2073 and 949-240-7300
Marie Waldron 916-319-2075 and 760-480-7570

Oh, that they had such a heart in them that they would fear Me and always keep all My commandments, that it might be well with them and with their children forever!
Creator God speaking to His servant, Moses, in Deuteronomy 5:29